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You need to understand the market situation very well when you try to make stock investment in the market. If you try to make any investment in the market without any clear knowledge of the market then you would not be able to make any profit from the market. There are stocks that have shown good profit in the market and you can then try to invest in it but you should always keep in mind that there are always some risks in the market and you cannot avoid the risks. If you try to make your investment in the market and that too without any proper study then you would have to face a huge loss of money.  Making the right and profitable investment in the market is not difficult if you really try your best to make good study or research. There are concepts that make you feel that it is not important but you should know that all concepts are very important in the market. 


If you are able to get the right information of the stocks then it would not be at all difficult for you to make good money. You should take care when you try to go for online stock market because you have to find the right and genuine website because this would only help you to get the correct information of the market. When you get all the updated information of the market you would not have to worry for your investment. This is because you can get all the latest happenings in the market that would help you to make the right income. Getting the right income from the stocks is possible but it might take some time for which you need to have good patience in the market.  To be a successful trader you need to identify the profitable stocks that would help you get the maximum benefit. If you are able to take the right decision yourself then you would not have to worry but you should know that you have to know how NSE, BSE….etc functions in the market. You should also try to know the insights of the market and this would make you more knowledgeable in the market. It is important for you to know how to be responsible while investing in the market?

 

Do not dare to predict

There are some investors who try to predict the stock market because they think that they are able to know what would happen to the market. If you also think the same then it is important to clear this misconception because this would only make you a loser and you would also feel less confident in the market. It is to be noted no matter how much you try to get rod of risks, the risk factor would always be there and you would not be able to get away from it. You also need to assure yourself that you are quite patient and you have the ability to bear the risks in the market while investing in the different stocks. You can also make good income from day trading but for this you have to get the right knowledge on how you are going to invest in it.

 

Make the perfect planning for your investment

You have to make the perfect plan for your stock investment in the market and this can be done by avoiding the decision made by your friends. In other words you need to make sure that you do not take any advice from your friends as they might provide you all the wrong information and you would have to lose your cash in the market. Investing for short term can also help you gain good amount of money but you need to know the risks in it. You would be glad of your own decision when you get the best profit from your stock investment. You should make sure of the stocks that it would bring good profits to you. Thus you should try to understand how to be responsible while investing in the market?

Stocks witness consolidation as oil recovers while US Dollar stays range bound. UK exits EU which sees Pound fall while Japanese Yen weakens further.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices got off to a subdued start as the Japanese Yen weakness saw stocks retreat on opening bell. With US indices also losing some ground, expect consolidation as mid week blues see profit booking. Oil pullback should see energy stocks bounce back as lower than expected inventories see buying come back.


Nifty bounced back strongly led by banks as positive global cues coupled with strong institutional buying pushed the indices higher. Foreign investors buying got another leg up as domestic flows turned positive with new highs on the cards by next week. For today expect expiry related volatility with Banks, Energy and IT stocks seeing buying while Pharma and Infra see profit booking. 


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29642.09, up by 110.66 points or 0.37% after trading in a range of 29521.65 and 29645.88. There were 25 stocks advancing against 5 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.56%, while Small cap index was up by 0.89%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9166.05, up by 22.25 points or 0.24% after trading in a range of 9136.35 and 9169.65. There were 31 stocks advancing against 17 stocks declining on the index, while 3 stocks remained unchanged.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Prestige

217.10

7.34

Unitech

5.72

5.34

Suzlon

19.15

4.93

Adanitrans

65.70

3.71

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Gruh

394.65

-3.27

Mphasis

581.95

-2.55

Wabag

680.40

-0.90

Justdial

547.30

-0.90

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

29326

29525

Nifty

9090

9130

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9079 while 9170 will act as resistance. Bank Nifty made new highs and now faces resistance around 21500 while 21200 will act as strong support.


 

Castrol (Buy above 425, for Target of 440, Stop Loss at 417.5): The stock after being under pressure in the past week has finally shown signs of revival. Castrol is on the verge of a declining trendline breakout on the daily charts and a close above Rs 425 would confirm the same. Volumes have seen a smart pick up while other momentum oscillators also indicate Castrol is likely to move higher post the breakout.


Derivative Snippets: Markets ended its last trading session with a positive bias, as PSU banks continued to surge higher. Fresh long build up was seen in Bank Nifty future along with the short covering of ITM/ATM call options, indicating of a continuation of this rally up to the resistance zone of 21500 levels. Nifty 9100PE and 9200CE adds fresh open interest indicating of a floor and a ceiling for Nifty in today’s trade.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 461 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 2.5x vs2.7x, with a significant creation of fresh long and shorts positions to the tune of ~40K and ~28K contracts.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Adani Ports up by 1.64%, SBI up by 1.27%, Indusind Bank up by 1.05%, Hero MotoCorp up by 1.03% and Maruti Suzuki was up by 0.92%. On the flip side, BhartiInfratel down by 1.62%, Axis Bank down by 0.80%, Ambuja Cement down by 0.56%, HCL Tech down by 0.48% and Wipro was down by 0.44% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 1.25%, Consumer Durables up by 1.15%, Capital Goods up by 0.78%, Industrials up by 0.74% and Consumer Discretionary Goods & Services was up by 0.65%, while Telecom down by 0.20% was the lone losing index on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, all the Asian markets were trading in red at this point of time; the Japanese market too was lower despite the yen weakening and crude holding on to last day’s surge.

The US markets once again showed a lackluster trade and made a mixed closing in last session. Back home, there was broad based buying witnessed in the markets and apart from the blue chips, the broader markets too participated strongly in the rally.

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading in red; Hang Seng decreased 114.29 points or 0.47% to 24,277.76, Nikkei 225 shed 65.01 points or 0.34% to 19,152.47, Shanghai Composite declined 36.32 points or 1.12% to 3,205.00, Jakarta Composite dropped 32.79 points or 0.59% to 5,559.72, Taiwan Weighted slipped 14.47 points or 0.15% to 9,841.78, KOSPI Index dipped 5.7 points or 0.26% to 2,161.28 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 2.75 points or 0.16% to 1,747.66.

 1,747.66.1,747.66.

 

Weekly Nifty Trading View for the Week April 03, 2017–April 09, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • United Kingdom triggers Article 50

  • Trump’s agenda questioned after health care defeat

  • US economic growth revised up slightly

  • South Africa sacks finance minister

  • NAFTA changes may be modest

The Week ahead:

  • The Bank of Japan releases its Tankan report on Monday, 3 April

  • Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ indices are released on Monday, 3 April

  • Euro-area retail sales are reported on Tuesday, 4 April

  • Global service sector PMIs are released on Wednesday, 5 April

  • The US Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday, 5 April

  • Trump and Chinese president Xi meet in Palm Beach on Thursday–Friday, 6–7 April

  • The United States releases its March employment report on Friday, 7 April

For the week,Global equities rose this week as did oil prices, while yields on 10-year US Treasury notes held steady at 2.41%. West Texas Intermediate crude advanced to $50 from $47.80 last Friday, while global Brent rallied to $52.70 from $50.60 last week. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), held steady near 12.

NIFTY- 9,173.75
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,286barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,450 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.85

MARKET ROUND UP 
Key benchmark indices logged modest gains in the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017 as the sentiment was buoyed after the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST), one of the biggest reforms, on 29 March 2017. The overall sentiment in the broader market was upbeat during the week with the BSE Small-Cap and the Mid-Cap indices outperforming the Sensex.

In the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017, the Sensex rose 199.10 or 0.68% to settle at 29,620.50. The Nifty 50 index rose 65.75 points or 0.72% to settle at 9,173.75. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 247.47 points or 1.79% to settle at 14,096.65. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 356.25 points or 2.53% to settle at 14,433.86. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
Trading for first day of the week began on a subdued note as the key benchmark indices settled with modest losses on Monday, 27 March 2017 on negative global stocks. The Sensex lost 187.96 points or 0.64% to settle at 29,233.44, its lowest closing level since 22 March 2017. 

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 29 March 2017, setting the stage for 28 states, along with Delhi and Puducherry, to enact state laws over the next three months to roll out the new tax regime from July 2017.

The four bills Integrated GST, Central GST, Union Territory GST and Compensation Bill will be followed by work in the GST council, comprising FM ArunJaitley and state finance ministers, to finalise rules and product- and service-wise rates by the end of April.
GST will replace central excise, service tax and state VAT and several other levies, in addition to subsuming existing cesses and surcharges.

Major Action &Announcement:
IT major Infosys fell 1.07% to Rs 1,020.80. The company announced during trading hours on 30 March 2017, that it has achieved Cloud Elite status in the Oracle PartnerNetwork (OPN). With this designation, Infosys is well positioned to help customers achieve cloud transformation, and provide sophisticated capabilities and next-generation services on Oracle Cloud. With strategic specialization and training programs, innovative joint solutions, and a clearly defined solutions roadmap, Infosys' Cloud Elite status will help clients derive better business value, it said in a statement.

TCS rose 0.18% to Rs 2,431.10. TCS said that the company has collaborated with SATS (SATS), Asia's leading provider of airport ground handling and food solutions services, to develop a smart watch solution that is believed to be the world's first mobile solution for airport Technical Ramp operations. The Technical Ramp Smart Watch solution is now supporting SATS' operations at Singapore's Changi Airport, a leading global hub of travel, technology adoption and efficiency. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

NTPC rose 1.1%. NTPC said that consequent upon testing and commissioning, 260 megawatts (MW) capacity (4x65 MW) of Bhadla solar PV project at BhadlaRajasthan, is declared on commercial operation on 25 March 2017. With this, the commercial capacity of NTPC and NTPC group has become 40,522 MW and 47,293 MW respectively. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

Drug major Lupin fell 2.61%. The company announced the launch of Abacavir and Lamivudine tablets, 600 mg/300 mg having received an approval from the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) earlier. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) rose 1.81%. The company announced that it has acquired Medinipur-Jeerat Transmission, the Project SPV to establish transmission system for 765kV strengthening in Eastern Region (ERSS-XVIII), on build, own, operate and maintain (BOOM) basis from PFC Consulting. The transmission system is to be progressively constructed over a period of 40 months. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Axis Bank gained 0.33%. The bank said that the board of directors of the bank has passed a resolution approving the allotment of 3 year senior floating rate notes aggregating to $10 million under the MTN programme through its Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) branch. The announcement was made after market hours on 27 March 2017.
Hero MotoCorp lost 4.52% to Rs 3,223.85. Bahadur Chand Investments (BCIPL), one of the promoters of Hero MotoCorp, raised its holding in the two-wheeler major by picking up 4.45% stake for Rs 2996 crore from another promoter firm in an open market transaction. 

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,Activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded to 51.8 in March, an official survey showed on Friday, 31 March 2017. The services sector rose to 55.1 from 54.2 in February. The 50-point mark separates growth from contraction.
Japan's core consumer prices rose 0.2% in February. While that is the fastest annual pace in nearly two years, it is still distant from the central bank's 2% target.

The US economy, as measured by gross domestic product, expanded at a 2.1% annualized pace in the fourth quarter, slightly faster than the previously reported 1.9% rate. Separately, jobless claims fell by 3,000 to 258,000 in the latest week, near their lowest level in decades.

Global Economic News:

Beginning of the end 
The United Kingdom formally began the process of withdrawing its European Union membership this week by triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. The UK and EU now enter into a two-year negotiation to iron out such thorny issues as the legal status of EU citizens residing in the UK and that of UK citizens living within the EU, "hard" or "soft" borders and how —and how much it will cost-- to extract the UK from the EU’s finances. EU president Donald Tusk said a free trade agreement can only be discussed once sufficient progress has been made on the divorce process. Also this week, the Scottish parliament voted 69–59 to authorize a second referendum on independence from the UK. Scotland voted to remain in the EU in last June’s Brexit referendum.

Will Trump play it safe or go big? 
After suffering a stinging defeat in his first major legislative initiative, President Donald Trump is likely to turn his focus to taxes in the hope of unifying the Republican congressional caucus. That may prove easier said than done, as the approximately $1 trillion in savings over 10 years that was expected from the repeal of Obamacare and its replacement with the American Health Care Act (AHCA) is now off the table. Trump must now decide whether to risk further political capital by advocating an ambitious comprehensive tax reform plan or to play it safe and advocate a smaller program of tax cuts. Should negotiations drag on, markets may not receive the fiscal stimulus that they’ve been expecting this year. Some fear stimulus could be smaller than expected and later in arriving, perhaps not until 2018.

US growth revised up
Q4 US gross domestic product was revised up to a 2.1% annual rate this week from an earlier 1.9% reading. Corporate profits showed healthy growth of 9.3%, though the persistent US trade deficit restrained economic growth. Sluggish growth is expected to persist into the first quarter of 2017.

US to seek modest NAFTA changes
A leaked draft of a US Department of Commerce memo this week showed that the Trump administration will seek quite modest changes to the North American Free Trade Agreement, countering more bombastic proposals made on the campaign trail by President Trump prior to his election. Trade jitters have been receding in recent weeks, but investors will keep a close eye on the first meeting between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping in Palm Beach, Florida, on 6–7 April.

German unemployment falls to record low
Unemployment in Germany, Europe’s largest labor market, fell to a post-reunification low of 5.8% in March, as joblessness fell by 30,000. That was more than the 10,000 that economists had predicted.

Ousted South Korean president jailed
Former South Korean president Park Geun-hye has been arrested and jailed over corruption allegations. Prosecutors have 20 days to build their case while Park is in custody. A snap election to replace Park will take place on 9 May.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Cutting a Gordhan-ian knot
South African president Jacob Zuma fired his market-friendly finance minister PravinGordhan this week in a move that risks prompting a downgrade of the country’s sovereign debt ratings. Zuma and Gordhan are longtime political rivals and have differed sharply over South Africa’s public finances. Zuma is expected to sharply increase public expenditures now that Gordhan has been sacked. South Africa’s rand has fallen 7.5% this week against the US dollar as the battle between Zuma and Gordhan has played out.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ADANIENT

109.95

ADANIPORTS

342.00

AIAENG

1641.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):


NOT YET IN (A) CAT

-------

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


 ABB INDIA

7.53

BAJAJ HOLDINGS

6.86

BERGER PAINTS

5.87

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


AMTEK AUTO

-4.60

AJANTA PHARMA

-3.55

ASHOK LEYLAND

-3.15


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (03 Mar)
PMI Manufacturing Index 
Tuesday (04 Mar)
Motor Vehicle Sales & Factory Orders
Wednesday (05 Mar)
PMI Services Index
Thursday (06 Mar)
Natural Gas Report 
Friday (07 Mar)
Consumer Credit & Wholesale Trade

Fundamental Pick of the week:
Buy CESC LTDFor Target Rs.900.00
CESC is in the strong up-trend as the stock reversed after taking support of Rs790 (23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of prior up-move Rs527-876) and later rose to Rs857.
* Key technical indicators-RSI & MACD are positively poised above their neutral line, where MACD is on the verge of positive cross-over.
* As per the current daily set-up, we believe that stock will continue the northward rally and record fresh high.
* On the higher side, the stock will face major hurdle around psychological level Rs900.Thus, long position can be initiated at around Rs830 with the target of Rs900 and a strict stop loss of Rs790. 

Indian Market Outlook:

TECHNICAL VIEW:


S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,000

9,060

9,110

9,173.75

9,225

9,270

9,340

After witnessing volatile trades last week, CNX Nifty resumed its up move supported by short covering. Good recovery was seen from lower levels tracking continuation of bearishness in USD/INR futures which helped Indian equity markets to settle at higher levels. Technically, Rise in volume and fall in open interest with both sides price movement price movement indicates sideways sentiments in current week. 9100 will be the Crucial level to watch out for the current week. Benchmark Index CNX Nifty witnessed good buying support at lower levels from traders last week which indicates support at lower levels. CNX Nifty likely to trade with volatile sentiments in current week on profit booking at higher levels from traders. If it managed to sustain above 9100 level than it may witness firm sentiments till 9330 levels. Breaking of strong support 9100 level with good volume will make Nifty bearish and down side may come due to selling pressure below that level. Traders should look for the opportunity to buy at lower levels for the week.

Conclusion:

Nifty gave Short entry on Monday which  did 1 target on Downside. Long was triggered  by Tuesday did 1 Tgt on Thursday thus both bulls and bears were rewarded following Chopad levels.  Lets Analyze how to trade Nifty as we are approach the New Financial Year.
Hourly chart was near the support line as shown in above chart and should see impulsive move towards 9200 holding 9077.
High made was 9192 so we almost did 9077 above 9077. Now for coming week break of 9200 can see fast move towards 9268/9312/9368. Bearish below 9130 for a move towards 9060/8992.Still waiting for 9312 for completion of extended abcdpattern. Bulls needs to hold 8992 for the target to come.

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