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Share Market Warp Up Note as on 21 March,2023

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Topic :- Share Market Closing Note


Sensex gains 445 points, Nifty above 17,100 led by financials.


BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices up 0.5 percent each.


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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot if manages to hold above 17100 level on closing basis then expect some pull back in the market in coming sessions and if it closes below above mentioned level then some sluggish movement is likely to follow. Avoid open positions for tomorrow.


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Topic :- Time:2.45 PM


Just In:

After Vistara merged with Air India, Vistara CEO Vinod Kannan is optimistic about maintaining the brand through quality and service standards.


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


NATURALGAS Trading View:

NG is trading at 186.70. If it manages to trade and sustain above 188 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 184.30 level then some decline can follow in NG.


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty is showing some recovery now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17120 level then expect some further upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17080 level then some decline can follow. Currently Nifty spot is trading at 17106.


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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM


CRUDEOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 5585. If it breaks and trade below 5560 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 5605 level then some pull back can be seen however overall it will remain in sell on rise till evening session.


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Nifty spot is trading at 17089. If it manages to trade and sustain above 17100 level then expect some upmove and if it breaks and trade below 17060 level then some decline can be seen in it


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 758. If it manages to trade and sustain above 759.20 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 757.40 level then some decline can be seen in Copper.


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Topic :- Time:12.10 PM


Just In:

AT1 bonds: Indian banks dependence limited, some impact on pricing likely


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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM


Nifty is sliding from its highs. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17060 level then expect some upmove and if it breaks and trade below 17020 level then some decline can further follow in it.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


SILVER Trading View:

SILVER is trading at 69224. If it manages to trade and sustain above 69260 level then expect some further upmove in the Silver and if it breaks and trade below 69140 level then some decline can follow in the Silver.


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Topic :- Time:11.00 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex up 300 pts; RIL, Bajaj Finance gain 2%, IT weak

2. Sterling & Wilson jumps 9% as it emerges bidder for Rs 2,100 cr project

3. Flipkart undertakes management rejig amid resignations, high costs

4. UBS buy gives Credit Suisse Indias employees a glimmer of hope

5. Credit Suisses collapse reveals some ugly truths about Switzerland for investors

6. Windfall tax on crude oil slashed to Rs 3,500/tonne, duty on diesel hiked

7. Please dont stall Delhis budget, Arvind Kejriwal writes to PM Modi

8. UBS needs RBI approval to operate Credit Suisse as a bank in India

9. Hariom Pipe hits new high, up 4% on shareholders nod for preferential issue

10. SBI MF schemes buy 2.2% stake worth Rs 757 cr in HDFC AMC in open market


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Share Market Warp Up Note as on 16 Feb,2023

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Share Market Closing Note


Benchmark indices ended on flat note in the volatile session on February 16.


At Close, the Sensex was up 44.42 points or 0.07% at 61319.51, and the Nifty was 20 points or 0.11% at 18,035.80. About 1814 shares have advanced, 1562 shares declined, and 154 shares are unchanged.


ONGC, Tech Mahindra, Apollo Hospitals, Divis Labs and Nestle India among the major gainers on the Nifty, while losers were BPCL, Bajaj Finance, HUL, HDFC Life and M&M.


Among sectors, information technology, metal and Realty up 1 percent each.


The BSE midcap and smallcap added nearly a percent each.


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Topic :- Time:3.15 PM


Just In:

The government has filed an affidavit in a sealed envelope only for Supreme Court judges in response to a suggestion for an expert committee in the Adani-Hindenburg case.


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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot if holds above 18040 level on closing basis then expect some further upmove in coming days and if it breaks and closes below above mentioned level then some sluggish movement is likely to follow.


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


NATURALGAS Trading View:

NG is trading at 209.50. If it breaks and trade below 208.00 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 210.20 level then some upmove can follow in it. NG will face immediate resistance at 215.30. Selling from higher level is recommended as off now.


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Topic :- Time:2.20 PM


Just In:

Tata Capital plans consolidation of arms before hitting D-St


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty is turning volatile now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 18100 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 18040 level then some decline can follow in the Nifty.


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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM


GOLD Trading View:

GOLD is trading at 56224. If it manages to trade and sustain above 56260 level then expect some quick upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 56180 level then some decline can follow in the Gold.


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Market is showing stock specific movement. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 18100 level then expect some quick upmove and if it breaks and trade below 18040 level then some decline can be seen.


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Topic :- Time:12.45 PM


Just In:

Nestle India Q4 PAT rises 66% YoY to ₹628 crore


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 771. If it holds above 768 level then expect some quick upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 768 level then some decline can follow in Copper.


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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM


Nifty is trading in green zone. Nifty spot if manages trade and sustain above 18120 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 18080 level then some decline can follow in the market.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex up 350pts, Nifty50 above 18,100; IT, metal stocks shine

2. Borrowing blitz makes Adanis empire even more vulnerable amid worst crisis

3. S&P puts Adani Transmissions ESG rating under review over governance issues

4. Centre slashes windfall tax on crude oil from Rs 5,050/tonne to Rs 4,350

5. Banks may recover close to Rs 15,000 crore from Srei group resolution

6. MSCI delays index weighting changes for two Adani companies to May review

7. Amazon Pay, 31 other payment aggregators get RBI nod to continue operations

8. Surf Excel becomes first Indian home care brand to top $1 bn annual sales

9. InterGlobe Aviation slips 5% after 4% equity changes hands via block deal

10. IT shares in focus; TCS hits 9-mth high; Tech Mahindra surges 11% in 2 days


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note


Indian Stock Market Trading View For 16 Feb,2023:


Nifty/Banknifty options expiry today. Stock specific action expected in the market.


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 18080-18100 levels then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17960 level then some decline can follow in the Nifty.


Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


Share Market Warp Up Note as on 07 Feb,2023

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 Share Market Closing Note


Sensex falls 200 points, Nifty above 17,700; autos, metals, FMCG top drags.


Most sectors ended in the red with minor gains in capital goods and realty sectors


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Topic :- Time:3.20 PM


Just In:

Sebi returns Go Digit General Insurance IPO papers.


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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot if closes above 17720 level then expect some further upmove in coming sessions and if it closes below above mentioned level then some sluggish movement can follow in the market. Avoid open positions for tomorrow as RBI policy announcement is due.


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


ZINC Trading View:

ZINC is trading at 276.If it manages to trade and sustain above 276.40 level then expect some further upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 274.50 level which is current support only then it is likely to show some decline.


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty spot is trading at 17712. If it manages to trade and sustain above 17740 level then expect some quick upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17700 level then some decline can follow in the Nity.


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Topic :- Time:1.50 PM


Just In:

Adani Ports net profit down by 16% at ₹1,315.54 crore


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Nifty is turning volatile now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17680 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17640 level then some decline can follow in the Nifty.


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 773.If it manages to trade and sustain above 774.20 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 771.80 level then some decline can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM


Nifty is trading in red zone however recovery cant be ruled out. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17740 level then expect some quick gains in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17720 level then some decline can be seen. As off now buy from dips should be the intraday strategy in nifty.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex at days low, down 100pts; FMCG index slips 1%

2. Vodafone Idea plans to get back in the game but fundraising a challenge

3. Rescuers scramble in Turkey, Syria after massive earthquake kills 4,000

4. Novatek in talks with Indian firms on LNG, may consider payment in rupees

5. Paytm hits over 3-mth high; surges 28% in 2 days on improved Q3 performance

6. Adani Transmission, Adani Wilmar, NDTV snap 8-day losing streak, surge 5%


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Topic :- Stocks under F&O ban on NSE


1. ADANIPORTS


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Topic :- Results on February 7




Bharti Airtel, Hero MotoCorp, Ambuja Cements, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone, Adani Green Energy, NDTV, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail, Astral, Barbeque-Nation Hospitality, Bharat Dynamics, Computer Age Management Services, Deepak Nitrite, Gujarat Fluorochemicals, GSK Pharma, Kalyan Jewellers India, Motherson Sumi Wiring India, Navin Fluorine International, NHPC, Phoenix Mills, Ramco Cements, Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers, Sobha, Thermax, and Wonderla Holidays will be in focus on January 7 ahead of quarterly earnings.


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note


Indian Stock Market Trading View For 07 Feb,2023:


Nifty to turn volatile as the day progresses. Trade as per market direction.


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17820 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17700 level then some decline can follow in the Nifty.


Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


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Mid Market News Update For 06 Jan,2022

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News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex down 250 pts, Nifty50 below 17,950; IT index slips 1%

2. India set to post BoP deficit for 2nd straight yr in next fiscal: Standard Chartered Bank

3. TCS pushes the pedal to get self-driving cars on road with new algorithms

4. Foreign banks rush to find plan B as ESMA-BoE ban on CCIL looms

5. Sebi nod to reclassify govt holding in IDBI Bank as 'public' after sale

6. Vodafone Idea approaches banks for loans worth Rs 7,000 crore

7. Delhi reels under cold wave, dense fog; temp plunges to 1.8 degrees Celsius

8. Rama Steel freezes at 10% upper limit as stock turns ex-date for 4:1 bonus

9. Speciality Restaurants soars 20% in 2 days; hits record high in weak market

10. Profit-booking takes some sheen off gold; commodity hits all-time high


Crunchy debut for Bikaji Foods as shares open 7.5% above IPO price

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Bikaji Foods International: Bikaji Foods International to make a debut on November 16. The country's third largest ethnic snacks company will make its grand debut on the bourses on November 16. The issue price has been fixed at Rs 300 per share.

Snacks company Bikaji Foods made a firm start on the bourses on November 16 as the stock traded 7.6 percent above the IPO price of Rs 300, listing at Rs 321.15 on the BSE and at Rs 322.80 on the National Stock Exchange.

The Rs 881-crore initial public offering (IPO) was subscribed 26.67 times during the November 3-7 period backed by qualified institutional buyers. QIBs subscribed more than 80 times their quota of shares and high net-worth individuals over seven times. The portions set aside for retail investors and employees were subscribed 4.77 and 4.38 times.

The ethnic snacks company had fixed the price band for the issue at Rs 285-300 a share.

Analysts like that the company leads in its core states (Rajasthan, Assam, and Bihar) and boasts an international footprint, a healthy top line and a strong management team

Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Rishabh Jain, CFO, Bikaji Foods said, “We are looking at double-digit margin in the second half of this year. We don’t need major capex for next 3-4 years. Core markets are 72 percent of total business and we will be focussing on growing that. Uttar Pradesh is the biggest market for us.”


Revenue from operations grew 22.90 percent to Rs 1,610.96 crore for FY22 from a year ago. However, net profit declined to Rs 76.03 crore in FY22 as against Rs 90 crore in FY21 on the back of high input costs. “Sustainability of margins going forward amidst stiff competition raises concerns,” said Manoj Dalmia, founder and director, Proficient Equities.

Bikaji Foods competes with Haldiram’s, the market leader in traditional savouries and snacks in India. Owners of Haldiram's are related of the promoters of Bikaji Foods. Bikanerwala Foods, Balaji Wafers, Prataap Snacks, DFM Foods, Pepsi and ITC are the other players in the segment.


COP27 | Five issues that could see developed and developing nations locking horns over

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Many developed countries, such as the United States, have opposed looking at finance for loss and damage as a ‘compensation’ for damages, and blocked negotiations on providing funds for itCOP27 | Five issues that could see developed and developing nations locking  horns over


Climate Change negotiations, formally called the 27th edition of Conference of Parties (COP27), begin on November 6 at Sharm El-Sheikh in Egypt.

To understand what issues will be the most difficult to resolve at COP27, we reached out to several Climate Change negotiators from developing countries. Here are five of the issues:

Climate Finance

In 2010, rich countries committed to providing $100 billion per year to poor countries by 2020. During COP26 in Glasgow in 2021, the rich countries admitted to have failed to mobilise these funds. The poor countries will ramp up pressure on the rich to deliver.

Then, there will be debates to pace up the work on deciding what should be the size of total funds to be mobilised. To begin with, decide a definition of what constitutes ‘climate finance’. The Like Minded Developing Countries group, which includes both India and China, has stressed on defining climate finance to ensure that rich countries are held accountable for their commitments. The absence of a definition has allowed rich countries to greenwash their finances, and also pass off loans as climate-related aid.

Loss And Damage

Irreversible damages caused due to Climate Change constitutes what is universally accepted as loss and damage . This includes extreme weather events, sea level rise, loss of biodiversity, and increase in temperature. Developing countries are more vulnerable to these events. But who will pay for the damages? To whom, and how? This year, as countries grapple with these questions, the stress will be on arranging funds that pays for these damages. Many developed countries, such as the United States, have opposed looking at this as a ‘compensation’ for damages, and blocked negotiations on providing funds for it.

Many developing countries are keen to see the establishment of a mechanism this year at Egypt to deliver funds to countries that suffer inevitable economic losses from Climate Change.

Article 2.1(c) the Paris Agreement

Article 2.1(c) of the Paris Agreement (PA) says that climate finance should be tied to low emissions-based development. This means that climate finance would be conditional on how funds are used; whether they’re being used for development that involves burning ‘dirty’ fossil fuels, or not.

Poor countries contest that this makes Article 2.1(c) ambiguous — as it would depend on how ‘low emissions-based development’ is defined. Say, for India, will funds be available for clean coal technologies or will that technology also get termed as dirty? This ambiguity also leads to inequalities in the distribution of funds.

Rich country groups, like the European Union, want a discussion on 2.1(c) as they feel it has not received due attention, and prevents everyone from building a clear understanding of how climate finance should be channelled.

Several large developing countries fear it’s a way of dictating their future economic trajectories, and even forcing them to adopt costly technologies that the rich nations want to sell without meeting their climate obligations to provide funds.

Global Goal On Adaptation

Adaptation means the ability of a country to respond to or deal with the impact of Climate Change. In 2015, under the PA, all nations decided to have a Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) to increase the capacities of countries to adapt to Climate Change. The goal is still being worked out. The talks will see some trenchant arguments over:


  • What criteria would be used to understand which country is more vulnerable?

  • How will this goal be implemented?

  • Where will the money come from?

Mitigation Work Program

At COP26, countries decided to start a new channel of negotiations called the Mitigation Work Program (MWP). Rich nations were keen upon it. Mitigation here implies reducing emissions.

Developing countries, however, argue that this channel of negotiations — the MWP — replicates the work that will be done under another one, called the Global Stocktake. The Global Stocktake is a formal and more holistic exercise to assess global progress on all commitments by nations — which includes finance, technology, mitigation and adaptation — they have made under the PA.

Developing countries worry that the MWP is being engineered to push them to constantly revise their climate targets without enhancing the supply of technology and finance for them. This will have an adverse impact on poor countries who do not have the money to invest in building expensive technologies.

COP27 | Debt-for-climate swaps in times of economic crisis

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Developed economies could write off a developing economy’s debts, unburdening them of repayments and interest, allowing them to redirect the money towards supporting their own loss, and damage costsCOP27 | Debt-for-climate swaps in times of economic crisis

With just a few days to go until the opening of COP27 of the UNFCCC, and with every day marked by multiple climate disasters in some part of the world or other, developing and vulnerable countries are set to put the spot light on their demand to the rich world to deliver on the promised and new climate finance to help them mitigate, adapt, and survive.

In the lead is the V20 group of finance ministers, who have announced their intent to stop payment on a combined $685 billion in debt until the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank address Climate Change the way their nations see fit. Their goal is to create a plan to swap some of their debt for climate adaptation and conservation projects.

Formed in 2015, the V20 group of finance ministers is a dedicated co-operation initiative of 58 economies systematically vulnerable to Climate Change. It is currently chaired by Ken Ofori-Atta, Finance Minister of the Republic of Ghana.

The UN Conference on Trade and Development research shows that regions facing higher vulnerability to Climate Change are more likely to suffer from severe indebtedness. High debt payments mean countries have fewer resources for mitigating and adapting to Climate Change. Yet Climate Change is increasing their vulnerability, and that can raise their sovereign risk, increasing the cost of borrowing. Declining productive capacity and tax base can lead to higher debt risks. It’s a vicious cycle.

With the economic situation worsening in all developing economies countries, international organisations are talking about “debt-for-climate swaps” to help tackle both problems at the same time. UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina Mohammed mentioned debt-for-climate swaps ahead of COP27 as one option for refinancing countries’ “crippling” debt. Developed economies could write off a developing economy’s debts, unburdening them of repayments and interest, allowing them to redirect the money towards supporting their own loss, and damage costs.

A report by the European Network on Debt and Development (Eurodad) said 37 island and coastal countries that are home to some 65 million people, received just $1.5 billion in climate finance between 2016 and 2020. Over the same period, 22 of the nations paid more than $26.6 billion to their external creditors. Public debt levels in the island states had risen from an average of near 66 percent of gross domestic product in 2019 to nearly 83 percent in 2020, and were set to remain above 70 percent until 2025.

The average debt for low- and middle-income countries, excluding China, reached 42 percent of their gross national income in 2020, up from 26 percent in 2011. For countries in Latin America, and the Caribbean, the annual payments just to service that debt averaged 30 percent of their total exports.

One thing is clear, without substantial debt relief, debtor countries are forced to accelerate natural resource exploitation to pay the debt, side-lining these environmental ambitions, and hindering future economic security. It is, therefore, imperative to align debt restructuring with climate and development goals.

Debt-for-climate swaps allow countries to reduce their debt obligations in exchange for a commitment to finance domestic climate projects with the freed-up financial resources.

They have been used since the late 1980s to preserve the environment and address the liquidity crisis in developing countries, including Bolivia, Costa Rica, and Belize. Belize, for example, was able to lower its debt in exchange for committing to designate 30 percent of its marine areas as protected areas, and to spend $4 million a year for the next two decades on marine conservation under a complex debt-for-nature swap. While debt-for-nature swaps have been used mostly for conservation, the same concept could be expanded to Climate Change mitigation and adaptation activities.

A country’s debt rests with many creditors, ranging from multilateral funds to other countries. Each would have to be engaged and negotiated with to excuse the outstanding debt making difficult calls on which country receives debt relief first, and on what basis.

Some finance experts have suggested that debt-for-climate swaps could be structured in a way that could also encourage private-sector bond holders to exchange the national debt they hold for carbon offsets.

Debt cancellation mechanisms may bring relief to developing nations that are struggling with the impacts of Climate Change. However, rushing into such an ambitious policy could be disastrous without a rigorous feasibility study, and careful planning. Any agreement to cancel debt would likely require the excusing parties to be assured that the money will reach the most vulnerable communities on the ground and not be swallowed up by corruption or internal bureaucracies.

Services sector picks up pace in October as PMI rises to 55.1

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India's services PMI for October has come in above the key level of 50 for the 15th month in a row


India's services sector picked up pace in October as the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for last month edged up from September's six-month low.

Data released on November 3 by S&P Global showed the services PMI rose to 55.1 in October from 54.3 in September.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity while a sub-50 print signals contraction.

The October print is the 15th month in a row that the services PMI has come in above the key level of 50.

"Favourable demand for services continued to underpin increases in new business and output at the start of the third fiscal quarter. Moreover, rates of expansion quickened from September's six-month lows. Buoyed by the ongoing recovery in new work, service providers again took on extra staff, with an improvement in business confidence also supporting hiring activity," S&P Global noted.

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Share Market Closing Note

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Topic :- Share Market Closing Note

Benchmark indices closed higher for the fourth consecutive session on November 1 with Nifty above 18,100.All You Need To Know About Stock Market Timings & Trading Sessions In India

At Close, the Sensex was up 374.76 points or 0.62% at 61,121.35, and the Nifty was up 133.20 points or 0.74% at 18,145.40. About 1765 shares have advanced, 1579 shares declined, and 129 shares are unchanged.

Adani Enterprises, Divis Labs, NTPC, Power Grid Corp and Grasim Industries were among the top Nifty gainers, while losers included Axis Bank, UPL, Eicher Motors, Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki.

Among sectors, Power, Metal, Pharma and Information Technology indices up 2 percent each, while Realty index up 1 percent.

The BSE midcap index rose 1 percent and smallcap index up 0.26 percent.

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Topic :- Time:3.10 PM

Upcoming FED meeting. Avoid holding overnight positions. Nifty spot close above 18160 level will result in some upmove and close below above mentioned level may result in some fall. 

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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM

GOLD Trading View:

GOLD is trading at 50519. If it manages to trade and sustain above 50540 level then expect some further upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 50480 level then some decline can follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:1.15 PM

Just In:

Credit Suisse is not for sale, says chairman Axel Lehmann.

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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM

Nifty is falling from its higher levels. Nifty spot if breaks and trade below 18080 level then expect some further decline in the market and if it manages to trade and sustain above 18100 level then some upmove can follow in the Nifty.

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Topic :- Time:12.55 PM

Just In:

Price hikes helped Castrol India counter impact of higher input costs in September quarter

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Topic :- Time:12.45 PM

Nykaa reports Q2 earnings.

Net profit down 8.9% at Rs 4.1 cr Vs Rs 4.5 cr (QoQ)    

Revenue up 7.2% at Rs 1,231 cr Vs Rs 1,148.4 cr (QoQ)    

EBITDA up 33% at Rs 61.2 cr Vs Rs 46 cr (QoQ)

Margin at 5% Vs 4% (QoQ)

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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM

COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 658.30.If it breaks and trade below 657.80 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 658.80 level then some upmove can further follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:12.10 PM

Just In:

1. EaseMyTrip clocks record sales as pent-up demand boosts travel agency

2. ASHOK LEYLAND OCT SALES ; TOTAL SALES UP 33 % At 14683 units (YOY)

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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM

Nifty is trading on a positive note. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 18160 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 18120 level then some decline can follow in the market.

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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM

News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex at days high, up 500pts; Nifty50 above 18,150

2. Indias Manufacturing PMI rises to 55.3 in October, hiring at 33-mth high

3. RBI starts pilot of its digital currency, allows 9 banks to use it

4. Trade data from China, India shows gaping hole of $12 billion

5. Indias gold demand declines as inflation depresses rural demand

6. Bain Capital likely to sell stake in Axis Bank through block deal

7. Axis Bank slips 2% after 1.2% equity changes hands on BSE via block deal

8. Wheat price climbs nearly 6% after Russia withdraws from Black Sea pact

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Credit Suisse investors’ choice: a big loss or a bigger loss

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Credit Suisse’s $4 billion fundraising was always going to be painful for shareholders, but with a deep discount on the new stock, their choice is only about how much of their ownership they want to lose.Credit Suisse Investors' Choice: a Big Loss or a Bigger Loss - Bloomberg

The capital-raising plan was unveiled last week alongside a high-risk strategic overhaul, which still only promised a weak target for a 6 percent return on tangible equity in three years’ time, if things go according to plan. That is far below the 10 percent cost of capital assumed for big banks. It means Credit Suisse expects to be destroying value when its restructuring is done.

But the details of the share sale, which the bank released on October 31, leave investors with no real choice at all. The fund raising kicks off with new shares for a group of strategic investors led by state-controlled Saudi National Bank, who together will put in about $1.8 billion for a 14.8 percent stake.

That’s to be followed by a $2.2 billion rights issue. That stock will be priced at just 2.52 Swiss francs ($2.51) per share, which is a 32 percent discount to the theoretical share price after all the new equity has been sold and based on the average share price over the final two days of last week. Having already seen new investors take a large stake, the rights issue will further dilute the claims of each share over Credit Suisse’s profit or book value by 22 percent.

Together, all the new shares lead to bottom-line dilution of earnings per share of almost 34 percent. That sounds horrible until you look at the dilution if shareholders don’t approve the strategic stake sale, which they are due to vote on at a November 23 meeting. Without the Saudi-led group, Credit Suisse would have to issue even more shares to raise the $4 billion it needs through a rights issue alone. The full dilution then would be 40 percent.

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