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Is RBI ready to relook at environment of high liquidity and low rates?

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Investors should allocate funds towards funds having a maturity of up to 3 years to prevent portfolio shocks from rising interest rate risks.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep policy repo rates and reverse repo rates unchanged at 4.00 percent and 3.35 percent respectively. The MPC also decided to continue with an accommodative stance for as long as necessary to revive and sustain growth on a durable basis. At the outset, it appears that MPC has maintained the 'status quo, but as one reads the statement in detail, the indications are clearly otherwise as reflected in the bond yields which were trading 5-10 bps higher post policy announcement.

The minutes of the earlier MPC in June 2021 had already reflected concerns on persistently high inflation readings and the fact that it was being overlooked primarily to combat the economic slowdown induced by Covid-19. The concern manifested itself in a dissenting vote in this MPC for maintaining the accommodative stance. However, the decision to keep rates unchanged was unanimous.

The MPC also outlined a sequentially increasing amount for the Variable Reverse Rate Repos from current Rs 2 lakh crore to Rs 4 lakh crore by September-end. The governor has reassured that this should not be read as reversal of the accommodative stance. However, reduction in liquidity is likely to result in overnight rates inching up slightly.

While high consumer price index (CPI) readings are still being considered transient and supply side driven, there is a clear concern on readings beyond the upper band 6 percent on RBI's inflation target. The MPC also did acknowledge that economic recovery is on expected lines. Thus, for the financial year 2021-22, while the GDP growth estimates were maintained at 9.50 percent, the inflation forecast was revised upwards from 5.1 percent to 5.7 percent, nearer to the upper tolerance band. It will be difficult for the central bank to justify its accommodative stance if the estimates were to be revised further upwards going ahead.

Markets have been concerned about the rising CPI for quite some time but the central bank was of an alternative opinion. This tussle was reflecting in the auction results on the 10-year benchmark instrument over the last few months. However, RBI did appear to relent a bit and acknowledge the concern on inflation as the 10-year benchmark was recently seen trading at 6.20 percent levels. Today's policy statement clearly acknowledged the market's concern on the rising CPI readings.

Covid-19 led economic slowdown had led RBI to take various measures to support economic growth and maintain an accommodative monetary policy in line with most central banks globally since March 2020. In today's policy, the central bank appears to be hinting, for the first time, that it is probably getting ready to relook at the environment of high liquidity and low rates which have been prevalent for almost a year and a half now.

There was a definite change in the tone of today's policy statement which, though subtle, was clearly indicative of things to come. The concern on growing CPI readings will continue to reflect on the benchmark going ahead - leading to heightened volatility on the longer end of the curve. Given the rate scenario, we believe that investors should allocate funds towards funds having a maturity of up to 3 years to prevent portfolio shocks from rising interest rate risks.

Job Advertisements: Time to come clean on salary to be offered?

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Job seekers want recruiters to disclose approximate salaries for the roles advertised so that they can make better decisions while applying for these positions.

Vini Ahuja, a 34-year-old software professional from Bengaluru, has been job looking for the past two months. the most important hurdle that she is facing thus far is that the incontrovertible fact that job positions being advertised doesn't offer any details about the salary and it's disclosed just one occasion a candidate has cleared the last round of selection.

"I have appeared for five interviews thus far and each place has an equivalent policy. In three cases, I acknowledged that the salary being offered was 15 percent less than my current CTC (cost-to-company). once we need to disclose our current salary and provides proof, why won't they," she wonders.

There is a rising demand among job seekers in India to urge proper salary disclosures for the positions advertised by recruiters. The request here is that albeit the precise salary can't be revealed, a ballpark should tend out.

The justification is that since companies insist that candidates disclose their current salaries, why shouldn't they too? And eventually, the salary is one among the crucial factors to make a decision whether or to not accept employment role.

Currently what happens during job interviews is that the compensation is discussed at the previous stage. due to this, it becomes a troublesome decision-making process for candidates.

Hiring managers would state that compensation may be a 'trade secret'. Fair point but what's the harm in giving a range? rather than saying Rs 28.7 lakh CTC for a software developer with 10 years of labor experience just say provides a range between Rs 25 lakh-30 lakh once a year .

This makes the method far easier. A candidate who currently earns Rs 35 lakh wouldn't consider applying for the role. rather than them rejecting the work offer at the last round supported the pay, it's way better to state the compensation upfront.

It also helps save time and shut critical positions quicker. tons of back-and-forth on pay happens between the candidate and therefore the company HR occurs after the ultimate interview has been cleared only because the figure isn't shared beforehand .

Varun Bose, a tax consultant from Kolkata had three rounds of interviews at a consulting company between March and July 2021. He had a good idea of the industry salaries and had agreed to use for this position (where he was approached by the company).

However only within the last week of July was he told the pay, which was actually 20 percent less than his current salary.

"I didn't take up the work but i actually regret the very fact that I could have applied at other places had this information been given before," he says.

Giving an indicative CTC upfront means time are often dedicated to interviewing relevant candidates to guage whether or not they are fit the stress of the work role. With this, the 'salary bargaining time gets significantly hamper and vacant positions might be filled during a few months.

If you expect transparency from employment seeker, it's essential that you simply be transparent too.

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