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Tata Chemicals surges 7% in weak market on strong Q4 performance

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The management said the operating performance reflects higher volumes, realisations, and favorable market conditions.

Tata



Shares of  have rallied 7 per cent to Rs 1,002.80 on the  in Monday’s intra-day trade in otherwise a weak market. The surge comes after the company reported a consolidated profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 470 crore in March quarter, against Rs 29 crore in the corresponding quarter of last year.

The stock of Tata Group commodity chemicals company had hit a 52-week high of Rs 1,158 crore on October 18, 2021. At 09:16 AM, it traded 6 per cent higher as compared to 0.59 per cent fall in the S&P  Sensex.

 reported consolidated revenue growth of 32 per cent year on year (YoY) to Rs 3,480.7 crore against Rs 2,636 crore in Q4FY21, led by growth in the basic chemical segment. The growth in the basic chemical was mostly led by improved realisations across key geographies.

The management said the operating performance reflects higher volumes, realisations, and favorable market conditions. These results have been achieved in the context of a challenging input cost & energy environment, it added.

“The company witnessed an improvement in soda ash realisation across all units. Since there is an improvement in the demand environment across end user industries along with no large capacity addition across the globe to support soda ash prices ahead,” ICICI Securities said in a note.

That apart, while the global demand environment continues to be positive across their products and applications,  said, the supply-side environment, especially energy and input costs, remain at elevated levels along with logistic challenges. The company has planned for Phase II capacity expansion of soda ash (~ 300 kt) and bicarb (70 kt) and specialty silica capacity by 50kt for a capex outlay of around Rs 2,000 crore in India.

Tata Chemicals is a leading supplier of choice to glass, detergent, industrial and chemical sectors. The company has a strong position in the crop protection business through its subsidiary company Rallis India.

"On a one-year forward basis, Tata Chemicals traded at an average EV/EBITDA of 8.8x over the last 10 years. It is now trading at 10.6x FY23E EV/EBITDA, implying a premium of 20 per cent. We expect a revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 14 per cent / 13 per cent / 6 per cent over FY22-24. Factoring the strong operating performance in Q4-FY22, we have raised our FY23/FY24 EBITDA estimate by 5 per cent each. We maintain our Neutral rating with a SoTP-based target price of Rs 1,045/share," wrote analysts at Motilal Oswal Securities in a post result note.

Also Read:- India's factory output looks up, manufacturing PMI rises to 54.7 in April

India's factory output looks up, manufacturing PMI rises to 54.7 in April

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At 54.7, India's manufacturing PMI for April erased much of the decline it posted in March, when it had fallen to 54.0 - the lowest since September 2021.India's factory output looks up, manufacturing PMI rises to 54.7 in April

The S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose in April, coming in at 54.7, up from 54.0 in March.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a sub-50 print is a sign of contraction.

According to IHS Markit, the  compiler of the PMI, Indian manufacturing activity in April saw a marked increase in new orders and production, with international sales growing "solidly" after having contracted for the first time in nine months in March.

"Factories continued to scale up production at an above-trend pace, with the ongoing increases in sales and input purchasing suggesting that growth will be sustained in the near-term," noted Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at S&P Global.

IHS Markit completed its merger with S&P Global on Febraury 28, leading to the renaming of the PMI for India as well as some other countries.

Manufacturers continued to stock inputs, with April seeing the largest increase since November.

The improvement in activity levels did not do much for employment in the manufacturing sector, with most firms saying their workforce levels were unchanged in April because of little capacity pressures. However, on the whole, there was a "mild increase" in employment last month.

On the price front, concerns remained. Manufacturers experienced higher costs for chemicals, electronic components, energy, metals, plastics, and textiles compared to March. Higher transportation fees and the war between Russia and Ukraine were cited as the primary reasons for input cost inflation rising to a five-month high in April.

Consumers felt the price rise too, with manufactuers passing on some of the increased cost burden. This resulted in selling price inflation hitting a one-year high.

"This escalation of price pressures could dampen demand as firms continue to share additional cost burdens with their clients," De Lima added.

The rise in consumer prices will not come as a surprise, with inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) surging to a 17-month high of 6.95 percent in March, data released last month showed.  Economists expect CPI inflation crossed 7 percent in April, putting the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee deeper into a corner.

The rate-setting panel is increasingly expected to start raising the policy repo rate in June to cut down inflation pressures and avoid failing to meet its mandate.

The committee is deemed to have failed to meet its mandate if average CPI inflation is outside the 2-6 percent band for three consecutive quarters.

Inflation averaged 6.3 percent in January-March. The central bank's latest forecast pegs average CPI inflation at 6.3 percent in April-June and 5.8 percent in July-September.

 

 

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