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India's tally of crorepatis at 131,000 as 6,000 new ones added in FY22

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There was also a significant rise in number of people who declared their income between Rs 10 lakh and Rs 1 crore, data from the Finance Ministry showedPhoto: Shutterstock

India witnessed a rise in the number of millionaires in FY22 as nearly 131,000 people showed their total income above Rs 1 crore, a report stated on Wednesday. This number was at around 125,000 a year earlier.

There was also a significant rise in the number of people who declared their income between Rs 10 lakh and Rs 1 crore, data from the  Ministry showed.

Pankaj Chaudhary, Minister of State in the  Ministry, in a written response in the  presented a summary of tax filers whose gross income was between Rs 10 lakh and Rs 1 crore, and above Rs 1 crore in assessment years 2021-22 and 2020-21.

The number of individuals with total income between Rs 10 lakh to Rs 1 crore in AY22 jumped to 7.7 million, from 7.3 million in the previous year, the data stated.

In AY23, 58 million filed their returns till the last date, July 31, the  Department stated.

In case of a mismatch in returns, the ITR files for AY23 would be ‘nudged’ for an explanation or even need to file a revised return, Revenue Secretary Tarun Bajaj said.

A large number of ITR filers have complained that the Annual Information Statement (AIS) was not updated, which could result in a mismatch, reported The Hindu BusinessLine reported.

However, Bajaj assured that such filers don't need fear scrutiny as “only those cases will be picked up which are flagged by Risk management System.”

ITR filing would get further simpler next year, he said.

The AIS was introduced last year in November, and it will replace Form 26AS as soon as it becomes fully operational.

The I-T department officials have said that filers would not be scrutinised just because of a mismatch. They also said that there is a provision to file updated returns and rectify mismatches.

In case of a bigger mismatch, the department can issue notice to the taxpayer under section 142 and can ask for an assessment under section 143.

Dollar bull run is not over, Capital Economics says

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Worsening economic outlook and faltering risk appetite will support the dollar for some time, an economist said.Dollar bull run is not over, Capital Economics says

The recent bull run in the greenback will go on for longer as hopes of a Fed pivot may be overdone, Capital Economics has said.

“Although the US dollar has faltered over the past couple of weeks, we doubt its bull run is over,” Jonas Goltermann, Senior Markets Economist at the house said in a note.

After reaching a 20-year high in mid-July, the dollar index has eased sharply and is trading lower by around 2.5 percent from its peak. While currencies like the Japanese yen have appreciated by more than 5 percent against the dollar, the rupee has gained over 1 percent to an over five-week high on August 2.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said in parliament on Tuesday that the rupee is not collapsing and will find its natural course. Concerns over India’s current account deficit and inflation has worsened in recent weeks as the rupee plumbed to fresh lows against the dollar. The country imports 85 percent of its crude oil needs.

According to Capital Economics, two key factors explain the dollar’s recent setback.

The narrowing yield differentials since last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and easing safe-haven demand for the greenback, which appears to have driven much of the dollar’s surge since early June.

Still, with inflation far above target, the Fed is unlikely to welcome the easing of financial conditions and fall in real yields and could push back.

Moreover, “it is far from obvious that the dollar will fall on a sustained basis even when the Fed does end its hiking cycle,” Goltermann said.

He adds that in 2019, the dollar stayed strong despite the Fed cutting rates amid safe-haven demand on account of the US-China trade war and a global slowdown.

The dollar also rose in 2000-02 even as the Fed cut rates but the stock market plunged and the global economy fell into recession.

“We think a similar pattern will play out this time around: we expect a continued worsening of the economic outlook and faltering risk appetite to support the dollar for some time yet,” the economist said.

July PMI services growth slips to 4-month low on rising inflation

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The PMI decreased to 55.5 in July 2022 from 59.2 in June

July PMI services growth slips to 4-month low on rising inflation

The S&P Global  decreased to 55.5 in July 2022 from 59.2 in June, and below market consensus of 58.5, pointing to the weakest expansion in the sector since March, as weaker sales growth and inflationary pressures restricted the latest upturn in business activity.

But the index has been above the 50-mark that separates growth from contraction for a year and July's reading was higher than the long-term average.

Moreover, despite sliding from an over 11-year high set in June, the relatively strong reading was underpinned by firm domestic demand.

"There were many positives in the latest results. Business activity continued to rise strongly, with a similarly robust uplift in new business as the offering of new services and marketing efforts bore fruit," said Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

There was, however, a noticeable loss of momentum for the Indian service economy as demand was somewhat curtailed by competitive pressures, elevated inflation and unfavourable weather."

Like many other countries, Asia's third largest economy has been grappling with soaring inflation - at a near-decade high - exacerbated by rising commodity prices. A weaker rupee has further bumped up imported inflation.

The  (RBI) embarked on its tightening cycle in May, later than most of its peers, but is expected to front-load subsequent hikes to combat inflation.

The new business sub-index was at a four-month low but faired well on historical standards as domestic demand remained firm. New export orders contracted for a 29th straight month, since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.

Most firms had enough manpower to handle current requirements leading to subdued job creation last month, much the same as in June.

Input prices rose sharply and stayed above the long-run average, despite softening to the slowest pace since February. Food, fuel, inputs, labour, retail, tool and transportation costs were all up.

Firms chose to pass some of the additional costs to customers and although that pace eased from an almost five-year high set in June it was still above trend.

The overall S&P Global India Composite  Output Index was strong at 56.6, supported by the factory  that rose to its highest since November. However, the composite PMI was at a four-month low and down from 58.2 in June.

Services growth falls in July as inflation and weather bite

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The fall in the services PMI comes after data released on August 1 showed the manufacturing index rose to an eight-month high of 56.4 in JulyServices growth falls in July as inflation and weather bite

India's services activity expanded again in July, although the S&P Global India Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slumped to 55.5 from an over 12 year high of 59.2 in June, data released on August 3 showed.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a sub-50 print is a sign of contraction.

"There was...a noticeable loss of momentum for the Indian service economy as demand was somewhat curtailed by competitive pressures, elevated inflation and unfavourable weather," noted Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

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